OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong report that the Korean Won (KRW) strengthened alongside gains in tech equities, lower Oil prices and strong export data, including a surge in semiconductor shipments. …
Japan’s Yen Battle Takes Another Unexpected TurnThe BoJ just hiked rates, yet the yen moved lower. The disconnect highlights a bigger problem: a rate hike means little if markets see the path ahead as too cautious. With…
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil extends its decline on Tuesday as traders assess fresh Middle East developments, keeping energy prices under pressure for a fifth straight day. At the time of writing, WTI trades around…
The US Dollar (USD) has extended its recovery on Tuesday, climbing to new multi-week highs on the back of steady bets for extra Fed tightening, while increasing hopes of a potential deal to unlock the US-Iran-Hormuz con…
Richmond Federal Reserve (Fed) President Thomas Barkin said on Tuesday that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to raise interest rates last Wednesday because inflation risks outweighed those to maximum emp…
US President Donald Trump is figuring out a solution to end the war between Russia and Ukraine, after meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Furthermore, he added that Russian President Vladimir Putin is …
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that GBP/USD remains under 1.3400 as United Kingdom (UK) fiscal policy turns more restrictive. Rising borrowing has eroded fiscal headroom, pressuring Chancellor J…
ING’s Francesco Pesole notes the Dollar started the week strongly despite lower Oil prices and firmer global equities, helped by hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials Austan Goolsbee and Alberto Musalem that su…
Gold (XAU/USD) consolidates on Tuesday as traders weigh fresh Middle East headlines while the broader geopolitical backdrop remains tense. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,334 after rebounding from an in…
AUD/USD trims part of its earlier losses on Tuesday as traders assess fresh diplomatic signals surrounding the war between the United States (US) and Iran, weighing on the US Dollar (USD). Meanwhile, a hawkish Reserve B…
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong argue that intervention risks and a more hawkish Bank of Japan (BoJ) are key for the Japanese Yen (JPY). They see faster BoJ policy tightening gradually supporting JPY…
Standard Chartered’s Nicholas Chia now expects the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to raise the cash rate to 4.60% at its 29 September meeting, revising a previous call for a hold. Chia cites recent RBA messaging focuse…
Deutsche Bank Research’s UK economists Sanjay Raja and Maui Brennan have shifted their BoE base case from no hikes to two 25bp moves, in November and February. They argue Bank Rate is already restrictive, inflation is l…
ING’s Francesco Pesole notes EUR/GBP has held a tight 0.855–0.860 range since early September after a Bank of England (BoE) meeting that did not strongly challenge aggressive market tightening expectations. ING economis…
The British Pound (GBP) is giving back earlier gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday as data from the UK revealed that public sector borrowing increased beyond expectations in August, rekindling market concerns a…
Transport and logistics companies are grappling with rising costs and supply chain disruption. Meanwhile, a growing trade imbalance with China is creating new challenges across Europe's logistics network
John Velis at BNY Markets argues that current US inflation is being driven by non-rate-sensitive components of core PCE, limiting how effective further Federal Reserve tightening can be. He expects one more rate hike in…
Deutsche Bank strategists highlight a strong risk-on session in US equities, with the S&P 500 up over 1% and back in positive territory for September, sitting less than half a percent below its all-time high. Tech leade…
Amid reports of Japan’s current account surplus hitting record highs and international investors losing confidence in the US dollar, the story would seem straightforward: as the dollar falters, the yen should be soaring…
USD/JPY gains ground for the third consecutive day, trading around 157.70 during the European hours on Tuesday. The currency pair is consolidating after the recent pullback while remaining capped by the medium-term tren…
Financial markets adopt a cautious stance early Tuesday amid mounting geopolitical uncertainty. The European economic calendar will feature preliminary Consumer Confidence Index data for September. Meanwhile, investors …
Short-term fair value has slipped below 1.150 for the first time since late July, while the two-year SOFR ESTR spread has widened back toward 150bp, also around levels last seen in July. Interestingly, oil now carries o…
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock said in a statement released during the Asian trading session on Tuesday that supply shocks are difficult for monetary policy to deal with. Bullock added, “Policy…
The AUD/USD pair gains ground to near 0.7120 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday. The Australian Dollar (AUD) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) following Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Mic…