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Tuesday, 29 September 2026

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Euro returns below 1.1600 as US Dollar selling pressure eases

EUR/USD trims earlier gains on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) shows signs of stabilization after opening the week under selling pressure. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1580 after touching an intraday h…

The US Dollar Index cannot rally with Washington on the offer

The Dollar Index trades near 99.50, roughly a tenth of a percent lower, having opened directly on its 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and failed there inside the first minutes, with a session low just above 99.…

China: Growth risks rise into H2 – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Dr. Henry Hao highlights that China’s July activity data undershot expectations across industrial output, retail sales and fixed-asset investment, reflecting weather disruptions and a deepening property sl…

Japan: BoJ path questioned on weak demand – Societe Generale

Societe Generale economists Reo Sakida and Jin Kenzaki say Japan’s 2Q GDP data were weaker than expected, with consumption and capex both disappointing. A higher GDP deflator may support near-term BoJ hike expectations,…

Indian Rupee: RBI move tightens liquidity – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that India’s bonds sold off after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) unexpectedly advanced closure of its special Dollar deposit window to end-August. The change reduces anticipated Indian Rupee (INR) …

Japanese Yen: Intervention risk near 160 highlighted – DBS

Philip Wee of DBS Group Research notes that markets still focus on Japan’s struggle to support the Japanese Yen, while underplaying broader USD implications. He stresses that Washington’s stance gives Tokyo political co…

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Bulls eye 185.00 resistance area

The Euro (EUR) crawls higher for the third consecutive day on Monday, against a weak Yen (JPY), weighed down by downbeat Japanese Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures. The EUR/JPY pair confirmed the breach of the 50% re…

FX Outlook: Porridge Cools for Goldilocks

A slightly cooler run of US data recently has cut the chances of a Fed hike in September. Lower short-dated US rates and a mildly weaker dollar are supportive for the risk environment and will keep summer volatility lev…

USD/JPY: Why Bessent Backs Himself for Successful Intervention

In a recent podcast, I drew the conclusion that US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent fancies his chances of the recent FX intervention being successful. We agree that the yen is significantly undervalued and are reminded…

Euro: Upside bias targets 1.1590 against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang highlights that EUR/USD surged to 1.1585, leaving the Euro (EUR) with a firmer tone against the US Dollar (USD). Intraday, the pair could extend gains toward 1.1590, though 1.…